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Business Valuation & Financial Modelling


DAG I

ANALYSIS OF COMPARABLE COMPANIES

Select the sphere of comparable companies

Identify key characteristics of the target for comparison purposes
Screen for comparable companies

Locate the necessary financial information

SEC filings: 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, and proxy statements
Equity research
Press releases and news runs
Financial information services
Summary of financial data primary resources

Spread key statistics, ratios and trading multiples

Calculation of key financial statistics and ratios
Supplemental financial concepts and calculations
Calculation of key trading multiples

Benchmark the comparable companies

Benchmark the financial statistics and ratios
Benchmark the trading multiples

Determine valuation

Valuation implied by Enterprise Value (EV)/EBITDA
Valuation implied by Price/Earning (PE)

Key pros and cons of analysis of comparable companies

DAG II

ANALYSIS OF COMPARABLE TRANSACTIONS

Select the sphere of comparable acquisitions

Screen for comparable acquisitions
Examine other considerations

Locate the necessary deal-related and financial information

Public targets
Private targets
Summary of primary SEC filings in M&A transactions

Spread key statistics, ratios and trading multiples

Calculation of key financial statistics and ratios
Calculation of key trading multiples

Benchmark the comparable companies

Determine valuation

Key pros and cons of analysis of comparable transactions

ANALYSIS OF DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF)

Study the target and determine key performance drivers

Project free cash flow

Considerations for projecting free cash flow
Projection of sales, EBITDA and EBIT
Projection of free cash flow

Calculate Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Determine target capital structure
Estimate cost of debt
Estimate cost of equity
Calculate WACC

DAG III

ANALYSIS OF DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF)

Determine terminal value

Exit multiple method
Perpetuity growth method

Calculate present value and determine value

Calculate present value
Determine valuation
Perform sensitivity analysis

Key pros and cons of analysis of Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

LEVERAGED BUY-OUTS (LBOs)

Key participants

Financial sponsors
Investment banks
Bank and institutional lenders
Bond investors
Target management

Characteristics of a strong LBO candidate

Strong cash flow generation
Leading and defensible market positions
Growth opportunities
Low capex requirements
Strong asset base
Proven management team

Economics of LBOs

Return analysis: internal rate of return (IRR)
Return analysis: cash return
How LBOs generate return
How leverage is used to enhance returns

Primary exit/monetization strategies

Sale of business
Initial Public Offering (IPO)
Dividend recapitalisation
Below par debt repurchase

LBO financing: structure

LBO financing: primary sources

Bank debt
High-yield bonds
Mezzanine debt
Equity contribution

LBO financing: selected key terms

Security
Seniority
Maturity
Coupon
Call protection
Covenants
Term sheets

LBO financing: determine financing structure

DAG IV

ANALYSIS OF LEVERAGED BUY-OUT (LBO)

Locate and analyse the necessary information

Build the pre-LBO model

Build historical and projected income statement through EBIT
Input opening balance sheet and project balance sheet items
Build cash flow statement by means of investing activities

Input transaction structure

Enter purchase-price assumptions
Enter financing structure into sources and uses
Link sources and uses to balance sheet adjustments columns

Complete the post-LBO model

Build debt schedule
Complete pro forma income statement from EBIT to net income
Complete pro forma balance sheet
Complete pro forma cash-flow statement

DAG V

LEVERAGED BUY-OUT (LBO) ANALYSIS

Perform Leveraged Buy-Out (LBO) analysis

Analyse financing structure
Perform return analysis
Determine valuation
Create transaction summery page

SELL-SIDE MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS (M&A)

Auctions

Organisation and preparation

First round

Second round

Negotiations

Closing

Negotiated sale

DAG VI

BUY-SIDE MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS (M&A)

Buyer motivation

Synergies
Cost synergies
Revenue synergies

Acquisition strategies

Horizontal integration
Vertical integration
Conglomeration

Form of financing

Cash on hand
Debt financing
Equity financing
Debt vs. equity financing summary - acquirer perspective

Deal structure

Stock sale
Asset sale

Buy-side valuation

Football field
Analysis at various prices
Contribution analysis

Merger consequences analysis

Purchase price assumptions
Balance sheet effects
Accretion/dilution analysis
acquisition scenario's: 50% stock/50% cash, 100% cash, 100% stock

Meer resultaten:

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